Showing posts with label neutrality. Show all posts
Showing posts with label neutrality. Show all posts

Tuesday, April 15, 2014

I need your help to predict an election

One issue on the May 6 ballot in Franklin County will be for a levy for the Columbus Zoo. Saperstein Associates is neutral in this debate. We are not for or against the levy. We just want to predict the election.

We are now in our third week of polling on this issue. We are interviewing 400 people each week. We may be starting a poll on another ballot issue next week, so we will have more than one poll going on at the same time. This means that I need to hire more interviewers.

The job is ideal for moonlighters, retirees, stay at home parents and those who want to add skills to their resumes, or want to minimize gaps in their employment history. You can call me at (614) 261-0065 or email me at jstevens@sapersteinassociates.com

Friday, October 26, 2012

Establishing Rapport


Telephone survey respondents sometimes tell me that they will do my telephone survey, but they don’t usually do surveys.  Experience has given me some skill at getting people to answer survey questions, but my voice probably deserves most of the credit.  I have a deep and authoritative-sounding voice.

One reason that many people do not participate in telephone surveys is personal or hot-button questions.  We tell people when we read the introduction to a questionnaire that the survey is confidential.  We tell them that their responses will be reported in the aggregate and not individually.  Respondents often do not hear this.  If they do hear it, they perceive it more from the tone of voice of the interviewer.  Some respondents ask direct questions about the confidentiality of a survey.  If an interviewer can answer such questions without getting flustered, the interviewer can usually establish rapport with the respondent.

Establishing rapport with a survey respondent is important not simply to get them to participate at all, but also to give honest answers to hot-button and personal questions.  If a respondent perceives that an interviewer is truly neutral the respondent will honestly give answers that may be considered socially unacceptable.  If we do a survey about household financial management, we want accurate information about gambling habits and credit card debt.  We ask demographic questions about age, income, marital status and education level so that we can make sure that we get a representative sample of a population.  We usually ask these questions at the end of the questionnaire.  An interviewer who can establish rapport at the beginning of the call is less likely to have a respondent refuse to answer these personal questions.

Sometimes it is too easy to establish rapport.  Some respondents love to talk.  Several years ago I worked on a survey in which we asked women about their experiences at the maternity center of a local hospital.  One woman went into great detail about childbirth, but was offended that I asked about her annual household income.  Some respondents want to talk about anything but the questions on the survey.  They view the call as an opportunity to get something off their chest.  The interviewer’s responsibility in such situations is to keep the call on track by continually bringing the respondent back to the questions.  This often requires tact and diplomacy, which is also part of establishing rapport.  

Friday, October 12, 2012

Neutrality in Political Polls




A Facebook friend who lives in Florida recently posted about a polling call that his wife answered.  The interviewer asked if she planned to vote for Barack Obama in the upcoming election.  When she said no, the interviewer said they hoped she would change her mind and ended the call.

I commented on my friend’s post that this did not sound like a legitimate poll.  It was really a canvassing call.  A real poll would not ask a leading question.  Where I work, we even go so far as to rotate the names of the candidates in a race so that half of the respondents hear the name of the Democratic candidate first, and half of the respondents hear the name of the Republican candidate first.  That is one way that we work to reduce bias in polling.

Respondents often ask our interviewers who is sponsoring a survey.  When we conduct political polls we often do not tell the interviewers the name of the client.  We tell them to tell respondents that interviewers are intentionally not told who is sponsoring a survey, so as not to bias or influence anyone’s answers.  We have done several polls for the Columbus Dispatch.  At the end of the call we ask respondents if a reporter from the Dispatch may call them to discuss their answers.  When we do these polls, we tell interviewers to tell respondents who is sponsoring the survey after they have completed the survey.

When I brief interviewers on a new telephone survey project I like to remind them that they are free to have opinions about candidates and issues, but to keep those opinions to themselves when interviewing respondents.  If an interviewer asks:

“If the election were held today, who would you vote for President of the United States, Barack Obama, the Democrat, or Mitt Romney, the Republican?”

OR

“If the election were held today, who would you vote for President of the United States, Mitt Romney, the Republican, or Barack Obama, the Democrat?”

The interviewer should not emphasize either choice.  If the interviewer asks a respondent if they agree or disagree with a political position, the interviewer needs to read the question in such a way that the respondent cannot tell if the interviewer agrees or disagrees with the position.  We occasionally have respondents ask interviewers how they feel about issues.  They are permitted to discuss their opinions only after the respondent has answered all of the survey questions, and then to keep it brief.  We remind interviewers not to say okay or uh-huh after a respondent answers a question.  These utterances can be interpreted as approval or disapproval of answers to questions.

As far as I know, CBS News, Gallup, Quinnipiac University and Rasmussen train their pollsters in maintaining neutrality.  These organizations have an interest in making sure that the data they collect is accurate.  The larger the phone room, the more difficult it may be to make sure that each interviewer is asking questions in a neutral manner.  Errors in sampling may also skew polling results slightly.  That is why a margin of error is always reported with survey results.  For the most part, however, polling organizations have neither a Democratic nor a Republican agenda.

John C. Stevens
Saperstein Associates
(614) 261-0065